Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 877.476249 998.254023 1135.661975 1304.857743 1509.379348 1750.930765 2061.291753
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 710.869402 865.538680 1058.781778 1322.926766 1682.702681 2168.301524 2896.711179
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 626.231594 794.648711 1017.672508 1343.865432 1825.646024 2541.146532 3749.319067
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 553.318965 723.942616 959.981312 1323.752785 1896.995828 2818.857699 4545.944954
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 510.192835 685.942935 938.831868 1347.842585 2033.263839 3225.357131 5712.147351
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 480.367205 661.987201 932.922253 1391.398368 2206.621400 3739.822876 7320.668651
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 449.168920 631.728034 912.370834 1405.881086 2329.891680 4194.578376 9041.894721
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 416.466338 595.406618 877.270075 1388.881321 2389.353886 4535.646214 10685.780138
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 396.221239 576.323246 867.449275 1414.234350 2535.904925 5114.860180 13413.054393
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 366.205212 538.764970 822.533001 1367.897463 2523.970557 5314.919845 15096.550519
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 341.338226 507.577268 785.417755 1331.226172 2525.548313 5551.292527 17130.152959
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 318.713869 478.388456 749.087340 1291.317313 2512.180279 5745.272383 19201.485055
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 310.123467 473.112357 756.390081 1343.680442 2735.744073 6737.328061 26369.749211
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 298.468542 461.743740 751.710628 1371.367595 2909.717420 7683.413728 35315.104252
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 287.050201 449.715320 744.314820 1391.675749 3070.164122 8680.383347 47299.257980
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 271.912432 429.886111 720.076491 1370.902772 3113.863880 9281.065518 58245.461834
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 263.193694 420.979371 716.175786 1396.090947 3296.763943 10566.342862 81839.588419
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 257.199311 416.565307 720.662421 1441.758679 3556.349882 12406.857044 126287.726035
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 248.638709 406.708482 713.114760 1456.943391 3725.758730 13981.246673 185277.413837
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 237.728554 391.673376 693.532795 1439.117982 3781.314347 15016.343056 249728.831433
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 231.484247 385.156158 691.268622 1465.704076 4001.545735 17262.114084 417861.554440
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 219.453789 366.701590 662.038513 1417.119264 3935.636194 17636.277096 518143.416711
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 209.072213 350.940245 637.572247 1378.687292 3900.283344 18225.670122 675213.955605